Home | Menu | Sign Up | Donate

Betting on wildfires

Betting on the wildfires threatening our communities? It's just plain wrong.

Here's what's happening: prediction markets now let people bet on wildfires as they burn. Not just whether a fire gets contained, but how far it spreads, how many structures it destroys, whether it reaches a specific town.

Prediction markets let you bet on whether a wildfire will burn down your town

While families in Southern California were evacuating the Eaton and Palisades fires last year, people were on these platforms wagering real money on the destruction, nearly $1.2 million on those two fires alone. Fire experts have raised something disturbing: if you can win money betting on whether a fire spreads, what's to stop someone from setting one?

This is why I wrote the End Prediction Market Corruption Act, and why I'm pushing for stronger oversight of this industry overall.

Prediction markets have exploded with almost no rules. We've already seen the danger with insider trading tied to government decisions — like the recent story about Trump's teleprompter operator making over $100k by betting on the substance of his speeches. Now we're watching an industry turn people's homes and safety into a betting line.

Firefighters risk their lives to protect our communities. Families spend years building them. None of that belongs on a betting app.

It's time Congress brought basic oversight to these platforms.

Onward!

Jeff

Posted on July 20, 2026.

Born in the small town of Myrtle Creek, Oregon, Jeff Merkley has never lost touch with his working class roots.

As a U.S. Senator, he works every day to create opportunity for working families, stop the corruption of our democracy, and tackle the climate crisis.

A workhorse and a progressive champion, Jeff Merkley is leading a movement to get our country back on track.

Meet Jeff

Take Action